Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6230 · CVG → ORD
departs 7:07 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 63%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
This flight has been late 40% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.