Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6230
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6230 · CVG → ORD
departs 7:07 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±10 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
39%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
21%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.91 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.