OO 6233 · ORD → ALB

took off 8:40 AM CT · landed 11:12 AM ET (scheduled 8:38 AM CT → 11:55 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ALB?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.77 in

ALB (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6233 · ORD → ALB

Odds over time

How late did it get to ALB?