OO 6233 · ORD → ALB

departs 8:18 AM CT · arrives 11:26 AM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.74 in

ALB (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6233 · ORD → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?