OO 6405 · DFW → SAF

departs 6:40 PM CT · arrives 7:40 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SAF more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SAF?

On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SAF that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.30 in

SAF (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.73 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6405 · DFW → SAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAF?