Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6427 · ORD → ASE
departs 11:10 AM CT · arrives 1:16 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 37%
Fri 10/2 24%
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
52%
chance · ±2 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
52%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ASE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to ASE?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
ASE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 1.14 in
ASE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.