Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6518
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
OO 6518 · SAF → DFW
departs 11:21 AM MT · arrives 2:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 64%
Fri 10/2 50%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SAF that day
↑
Gusts to 30 kt forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
11am departures from SAF are usually not late
↓
SAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.77 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.