Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6518
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
OO 6518 · SAF → DFW
departs 11:21 AM MT · arrives 2:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 50%
Tue 10/6 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
69%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
69%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
69%
Yes 69%
No 31%
Leave SAF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
24%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 2.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
SAF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAF (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 2.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.