tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1524 LANDED 6:56 AM ET, ~5 MIN EARLY
Yesterday

UA 1524 · ORF → IAD

took off 6:23 AM ET · landed 6:56 AM ET (scheduled 6:05 AM ET → 7:07 AM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 2.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to IAD?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.