tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1627 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

UA 1627 · IAH → DCA

took off 6:38 PM CT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:05 PM CT → 10:15 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±0 pts −11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    6%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.