UA 1704 · MSP → DEN

departs 5:08 PM CT · arrives 6:31 PM MT

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1704 · MSP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?