UA 1808 · LEX → DEN

took off 9:16 AM ET · landed 9:50 AM MT (scheduled 9:00 AM ET → 10:16 AM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DEN?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1808 · LEX → DEN

Odds over time

How late did it get to DEN?