UA 2234 · SAN → LAX

took off 5:08 PM PT · landed 5:34 PM PT (scheduled 4:58 PM PT → 6:07 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from SAN are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2234 · SAN → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?