UA 279 · FLL → EWR

departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±4 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 5pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.71 in

EWR (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 279 · FLL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?