Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 279 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow

UA 279 · FLL → EWR

departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 35h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FLL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.84 in

EWR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 279 · FLL → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?