Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2834 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

UA 2834 · LGA → DEN

took off 5:23 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 4:59 PM ET → 7:35 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2834 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?