Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 283 LANDED 8:54 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

UA 283 · EWR → MSP

took off 7:31 AM ET · landed 8:54 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 283 · EWR → MSP

Odds over time