UA 577 · STL → EWR

took off 7:33 AM CT · landed 10:30 AM ET (scheduled 7:28 AM CT → 11:07 AM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to EWR?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from STL are usually not late

Weather at each end

STL (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 577 · STL → EWR

Odds over time

How late did it get to EWR?