Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 834 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

UA 834 · ANC → ORD

departs 11:59 PM AKT · arrives 9:19 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.56 in

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.95 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 834 · ANC → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?