WN 1402 · DCA → LAS

departs 4:42 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±9 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling9,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1402 · DCA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?