Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1577 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Today

WN 1577 · DEN → MSP

took off 6:44 PM MT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 5:56 PM MT → 8:52 PM CT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±2 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

MSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1577 · DEN → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?