WN 1629 · DEN → PHX

took off 1:33 PM MT · landed 1:56 PM MT (scheduled 12:41 PM MT → 1:43 PM MT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −28 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1629 · DEN → PHX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHX?