Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1629
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1629 · DEN → MKE
departs 4:20 PM MT · arrives 7:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 28%
Mon 10/5 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
4pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.