WN 170 · DEN → PIT

departs 11:05 AM MT · arrives 4:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at DEN that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

PIT (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 170 · DEN → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?