Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 170
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 170 · DEN → ABQ
departs 11:20 AM MT · arrives 12:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 18%
Sat 10/3 16%
Mon 10/5 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DEN are often late
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 18% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are usually not late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.