WN 172 · DAL → DCA

departs 2:03 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ 2pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ DAL is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.10 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 172 · DAL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?