Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1764
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1764 · DEN → TUL
departs 7:40 PM MT · arrives 10:25 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 41%
Fri 10/2 46%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±5 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.11 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.