Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1764
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1764 · DEN → TUL
departs 7:55 PM MT · arrives 10:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 71%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 46%
Mon 10/5 28%
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±10 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.16 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.