Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1784
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 1784 · ECP → AUS
departs 12:50 PM CT · arrives 2:55 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 60%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±3 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.