Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1784
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 1784 · ECP → AUS
departs 2:55 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 56%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
66%
chance · ±7 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
66%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
30%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ECP
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 1.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.