Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2030
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2030 · HOU → MCI
departs 9:40 PM CT · arrives 11:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 31%
Fri 10/2 30%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↑
9pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 6.33333 mi Precip 0.72 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.