Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2030
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2030 · HOU → MCI
departs 10:55 PM CT · arrives 12:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 31%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at MCI that day
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.