Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2034 · HOU → MCO
departs 10:25 AM CT · arrives 1:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 10%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
HOU is prone to delays
↑
MCO is busy at that time
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.