Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2034
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2034 · HOU → MCO
departs 12:20 PM CT · arrives 3:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 10%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.