Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2090
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2090 · HOU → TPA
departs 7:30 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 41%
Fri 10/2 42%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
7pm departures from HOU are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TPA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.