Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2090
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2090 · HOU → TPA
departs 8:55 PM CT · arrives 12:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 42%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at HOU
↑
8pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.