Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2091
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2091 · HOU → TUL
departs 2:45 PM CT · arrives 4:15 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 32%
Fri 10/2 30%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at TUL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to TUL?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at HOU that day
↑
2pm departures from HOU are often late
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, 0.3 in of rain forecast at TUL that day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
TUL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
HOU (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
TUL (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,167 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.34 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.