Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2165
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2165 · BUR → SFO
departs 1:10 PM PT · arrives 2:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 35%
Fri 10/2 26%
Sat 10/3 12%
Mon 10/5 23%
Tue 10/6 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SFO that day
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.