Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2193 · DEN → DTW
departs 7:15 PM MT · arrives 12:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 50%
Fri 10/2 41%
Sat 10/3 38%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 37%
Tue 10/6 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
63%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.