Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2193
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2193 · DEN → DTW
departs 7:05 PM MT · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Wed 9/30 58%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 42%
Sat 10/3 38%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
2.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.