Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 2227 · LAS → PIT
departs 5:35 PM PT · arrives 12:55 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 28%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 18%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 11,714 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.1 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.