Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2227
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1
WN 2227 · LAS → DEN
departs 12:40 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 18%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.