Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2235
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 2235 · LAS → FAT
departs 3:10 PM PT · arrives 4:30 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 53%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 30%
Fri 10/2 28%
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.