Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
WN 2279 · LAS → MKE
departs 4:30 PM PT · arrives 10:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 24h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 31%
Fri 10/2 32%
Sat 10/3 20%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↑
4pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.