Schedule: a typical Thursday (the flights of Jul 30, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2279
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 1 Tomorrow
WN 2279 · LAS → MKE
departs 6:15 PM PT · arrives 11:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Thu 10/1
Fri 10/2 33%
Sat 10/3 20%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at MKE that day
↓
MKE usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MKE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.