WN 2595 · DAL → DCA

departs 5:00 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DAL that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

DCA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2595 · DAL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?