Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2710
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2710 · DCA → MDW
departs 6:55 PM ET · arrives 8:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MDW that day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling 7,714 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.51 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.