Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2771
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
WN 2771 · OKC → DCA
departs 10:35 AM CT · arrives 2:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 30 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip 0.69 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.