WN 310 · AUS → HOU

departs 4:29 PM CT · arrives 5:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HOU?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at AUS that day

↑ 4pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.15 in

HOU (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 310 · AUS → HOU

Odds over time

How late will it get to HOU?