WN 310 · AUS → DEN

departs 11:59 AM CT · arrives 1:11 PM MT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +24 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at AUS that day

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ AUS usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,233 ft Visibility7 mi Precip1.23 in

DEN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 310 · AUS → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?